Shawn Ferris and Josh & Luke Younggren of Evolving-Hockey.com talk weekly about hockey focusing on NHL players, teams, and other current events from an analytical and statistical perspective.
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Episode 123: Frozen Frenzy and Way Too Early Evaluations
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We're once again delayed a day, which means we get to record during the early part of the Frozen Frenzy. We chat about this annual "tradition", the Predators surprising start, statistical uncertainty, Hellebuyck, the Sharks defensemen group, and classical composers.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 122: Week 1, Moneyball, and Jacks
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We're (about) a week into the '24-25 NHL Regular season, and while there's little to talk about re: useful stats, there's plenty of hot takes to discuss. We battled through some Twin tech issues (it's fine) to cover Utah, Georgiev, the NHL schedule, surprises, and farm jacks.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 121: '24-25 NHL Regular Season Preview
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A new NHL regular season begins today (sort of), and we're all in. We spent the whole episode discussing our team point projections for the coming year, our recent article, division strengths and weaknesses, cup favorites, and dark horses. Buckle up.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 120: NHL Offseason Review & Contract Model Evaluation
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With our recent Free Agency Review article up on the site, it felt like a good time to devote an entire episode to it. We discussed our contract model's performance, outlier contracts, winners/losers of the summer, recent signings, and Gothenburg.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 119: Jarvis, Draisaitl, and Monetary Policy
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We're back with a real doozy. Outside of a few rambling moments, we spent most of the episode discussing Seth Jarvis' new deal, contact structures, team/player benefits, SOFR, and modeling. If you're someone who enjoys numbers, this one is for you.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 118: Fantasy Projections, Offer Sheets, and Coffee Makers
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We took a month off because, frankly, not much has happened and/or we all needed a long break away from hockey. But ... we're back in true and proper form. We discussed golf, coffee, offer sheets, our recently fantasy projections release, and the Minnesota State Fair all while kind of forgetting how to do a podcast episode. It's nice to be back.…
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Episode 117: League Round Up, Mailbag, and Cronenberg
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We took a few weeks off to recover from July 1st, but we're back in full force with this rambling excursion. In the first half we covered recent NHL news, discussed Byfield's contract, and pondered the Sabres' status. Later we answered listener questions and talked films!Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 116: Around Free Agency in a Day
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Even though it's only been two days, the NHL decided to spend a Billion dollars already. We spent the entire episode covering free agent signings, our contract model's performance, team evaluation, and winners/losers. This was chaos, just like Monday.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 115: 2024 NHL Free Agency Preview!
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The Panthers! We spent the first half discussing the Final, team management, and general league happenings. In the second half, we took the timely opportunity to dive into Sabermetrics, WAR theory, and contracts while previewing this summer's Free Agency!Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 114: Stanley Cup Final & CapFriendly
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We're two games into the 2024 Stanley Cup Final, and there's some stuff to discuss. In the first half we chat about our Cup projections and team construction/expectations. Later we discuss the recent CapFriendly news and contract data/information in general.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 113: Round 3 Recap, Stanley Cup Preview, and Generational Discussion
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The 2024 Conference Finals have concluded, and we now move on to the Stanley Cup Final! in between we do our odd version of a post-mortem for the Rangers and Stars, discuss team construction, and ponder the meaning of "generational talent".Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 112: 2024 Conference Finals Preview!
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In typical fashion, we're moving on to the Conference Finals with more pressing matters to discuss. In the first half we chatted about buyout structures, AI, and the Selke award. After the break we discussed second round results and our favorites for the Conference Finals!Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 111: Boston, Carolina, and Veracity
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We're about halfway through the second round, and things are a little tense. Don't worry, we're here to alleviate your tension. We spent a full segment diving into the series (that we've watched), discussing the Canes and/or angry Rangers fans, and teaching Shawn the meaning of veracity.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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We're on to the second round of the 2024 NHL playoffs! We spent a full hour with no breaks discussing the first round and our models' thoughts on the second round while covering some interesting past playoff performances and geography.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 109: Round 1, Idioms, and Coffee
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Round 1 of the 2024 NHL playoffs is halfway done, and we're here to discuss archaic idioms and our coffee habits instead. In between we spend the actual majority of our time covering the ongoing series, a few interesting statistical tidbits, and The Leafs.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 108: 2024 NHL Playoff Preview! Round 1
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We're a few days late, but that's not our fault! The NHL decided to start the playoffs earlier than expected, so we're scrambling a bit to catch up. We spent the entire episode covering each of the first round series. In between there's some nonsense as usual.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 107: Kyle Dubas Roasts Us
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It's been a few weeks, but we're back to discuss... Kyle Dubas in the twitter replies. Later (and before) we chat about the terrible Eastern Conference wild card race, potential changes to the NHL playoff structure, shooting talent, and eclipses.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 106: Tanking, Models, and the Playoff Picture
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It's that time of year again: bad teams. We use the Sharks and Blackhawks as a jumping off point to talk historically bad teams (the '92-93 Senators and Sharks), and then cover the current playoff picture. In the middle, we chat about preseason expectations and models.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 105: 3v3 Goalie Pulls, Twins, and Post-Tade Deadline
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The NHL trade deadline came and went, but we had more important things on our minds: 4v3 strength states. In the first half, we talked twins, the Wild's bold 3v3 goalie pull, and scoring rates. Later, we did a full breakdown of the deadline!Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 104: Rempe, The Devils, and Wikipedia
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With the trade deadline fast approaching, we first explained to Luke why everyone is talking about Matt Rempe and then cover the very recent Devils coaching change. Later we reminisce about Wikipedia-while-working and chat about the ongoing deadline happenings.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 103: Trade Deadline 2024 Extravaganza
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We just published our '23-24 NHL trade deadline targets article on the site and spent well over an hour talking about our targets, the Evolving Tanev deal, and contending vs. non-contending teams. This one was a blast. Article can be found hereAv Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 102: Columbus, Jágr, and Trade Deadline Targets
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We're back after a long holiday weekend to chat about Jarmo Kekäläinen's firing, the Blue Jackets, and the tank race. Later we cover some Jágr trivia, trade deadline (non-) targets, and music composition.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 101: NHL Audit, Empty Net Goals, and Vacuums
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It's time for some data discussion! The NHL recently announced that they completed a season-long audit of their tracking methods, and we took this as an on-brand opportunity to spend the first half chatting about it. Later we discussed the awesome Greig empty-net slapshot, empty net goals in general, geography, and vacuums.…
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Episode 100: Trades, Rest of Season Predictions, and NHL Recitals
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We're back - at our proper time! In the first half we discussed the All Star game, Lindholm & Monahan, the Canucks, and regional pronunciation. Later we talked NHL players in recital, expansion cities, and team predictions for the rest of the '23-24 season.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Evolving Hockey Guest Spot: Charlie O'Connor, Again!
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It's our pleasure to welcome our first returning guest! Charlie, one of our favorite people in hockey, stopped by to chat about the Flyers' surprise season, the coaching and organizational overhaul, interesting players, Tyson Foerster, and some of our favorite albums from 2023. Charlie O'Connor can be found here: PHLY Sports Twitter In light of the…
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Episode 99: Fleury, The Blackhawks, and Technology
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We're halfway through the season, and it's a perfect time to discuss some exceptionally bad teams. In the first half we chat about Fleury's recent climb among goalie greats and goalie stats this season. Later, we debate terrible rosters, fuel economy metrics, and historical stats.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 98: The PWHL, Gauthier / Drysdale, and Nylander
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In rare form for this season, we've had some actual big news over the last week! In the first half, we chat about the early success of the PWHL and the unique Flyers / Ducks trade. In the second half, we discuss Nylander's extension, aging curves, and great hockey names.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 97: The Winter Classic, Preseason Expectations, and Airports
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New Year, Same Us. We spent the first half discussing the Winter Classic, language stack exchanges, and airports. In the second half we chatted about public models, team performance relative to preseason expectations, and the state of public data/tracking in 2024.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 96: Naughty & Nice Lists, Twin Cities, and Olympic Rosters
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It's Christmas Eve in podcast form, so we took a prompt from Shawn and spent the first half discussing our individually-defined naughty & nice lists for the NHL this season. In the second half we chatted about GRIT and stumbled into 2026 Olympic hockey roster speculation.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 95: Player Evaluation, Philosophy, and Ohtani
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Last week we discussed a few others' award picks. This week, we used our own picks as a means to discuss player evaluation philosophy, under-looked players this season, and Connor Bedard. Later we talked Ohtani's new contract and NHL parallels.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 94: Awards Talk, The Sabres, and Geography
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We're quite late, and that's the twins' fault. We spent the first half rambling about the crazy Pacific teams, handwriting, and some important geography. In the second half, however, we got serious: The Buffalo Sabres and Awards talk.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 93: Dean Evason, The CBA, and Thanksgiving Standings!
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We're back after a week break for Thanksgiving. This one made it seem like we really missed doing this podcast (we did). First we discussed the Wild, their recent coaching change, and struggles. In the second half we attempted to talk the current playoff picture. In between we covered DST, our vague understanding of the CBA, Randy Newman, and New F…
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Episode 92: The Oilers / Sharks Battle and Way Too Early Calder Discussion
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It feels like the only thing happening in the league has to do with the Oilers. So of course we discussed Edmonton's woes along with one of the more entertaining games of the last year. In the second half we chatted about early rookie standouts and made time for some geography trivia!Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 91: The Canucks, The Leafs, and Jury Duty
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Shawn has been dealing with jury duty, so we're once again a day late - our apologies. We spent a good portion of the first half discussing the Canucks, the erratic Pacific division, and expectations. In the second half we pat ourselves on the back re: the Leafs and chat about the important new Minnesota top line.…
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Episode 90: Halloween, The Ducks, and New GAR Data!
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As is (now) tradition here at the podcast, we're recording on Halloween, once again. We chat about the surprising Anaheim Ducks, discuss the recently released GAR et al. data for the '23-24 season, quiz each other on D-men shooting trivia, and share some spooky stories!Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 89: New Tracking Data, Alberta Struggles, and Frozen Frenzy
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The NHL just released their new player tracking site, Edge! We spent the first half covering the new site, what's available, and discussing our thoughts on theoretical player "value". In the second half, we talked Alberta, struggling teams, and the upcoming Frozen Frenzy!Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 88: Conor Bedard, The Leafs, and X-Rinks
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The first week of the '23-24 NHL regular season is in the books, and we're here to discuss your 3 GP shooting % leaders. It's still a little too early to say anything conclusive about this year's season, but we discussed Bedard, some surprising upsets, Leafs discourse, and fun hockey variants.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 87: '23-24 NHL Season Preview!
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We went long with this one. And for good reason. The '23-24 NHL regular season begins today, and we just released our preseason team point projections! This is a companion episode to the article that went up on the site covering the projections! This was a real fun time.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 86: Baseball, The Minnesota Wild, and Scandanavia
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We're a week away from the start of the '23-24 NHL season and spent a good amount of time discussing the upcoming MLB playoffs and childhood sports fandom. We then moved on to some recent signings by the Wild and Ducks and discussed the definition of Scandinavia.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 85: Barbie, Data, and Zegras
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We're back to our regularly scheduled time (a day late of course). Josh & Luke saw Barbie, so of course we have to talk about it. Afterwards we discussed nonsense, the Buffalo Sabres, preseason storylines, recent changes to the NHL's data, and the Zegras saga.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode 84: Babcock, Sanderson, and Nonsense
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We're back after our broken promise of a normal schedule. Despite our best efforts, we spent a little time discussing the Babcock situation in Columbus then moved on to Ottawa and the Sanderson signing, contract theory, and a recent lack of publicized NHL tardiness?Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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We just released our updated Fantasy Projections for the '23-24 NHL season yesterday on the site! We spent most of the hour discussing the model, our process, how the tool can/should be used, and the things we learned from our mistakes (as fantasy managers) last season. Projections: https://evolving-hockey.com/stats/fantasy_projections/…
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Episode 82: 2023 NHL Free Agency Review!
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It's that time, once again! We spent the entire hour discussing everything 2023's NHL offseason had to offer. While this summer may have been a dud, we had a great time diving into our contract model's performance, team evaluation, trades, and Oliver Bonk. Take a look at the article that goes along with this episode here!…
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Evolving Hockey Guest Spot: Dani Chu
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We're honored to have Dani Chu, Senior Quantitative Analyst for the Seattle Kraken, on the show! We spent an hour talking about Dani's background, working with the Kraken, education, statistics, hockey conferences, and the Coachella Valley Firebirds. This was a blast.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode #81: DeBrincat, Kopitar, and '23-24 Player Projections!
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We're back! We start discussing a few recent signings, the end of the DeBrincat Saga, career Goals Above Replacement re: Kopitar, and Banana Ball. Later, we cover everything you need to know about GAR projections on the site!Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode #80: Five Days into NHL Free Agency
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We're through five days of free agency. So far it's been a lot of things, and we have thoughts. We spent the whole hour covering all of it. Contract projections, Twitter, left-field contracts, and team evaluations. It's nice to be back.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode #79: Stanley Cup, Team Construction, and Contracts!
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The Golden Knights are your 2023 Stanley Cup Champions, which means hockey (in its played form) is now over. We discussed the Cup Final, transitioned to a larger discussion about skater size and team construction, and spent the second half covering a few recent contracts and gaming.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode #78: Round 3, Defunct NHL Teams, and League News
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The Conference Finals are done, and we weren't particularly impressed with them. We discussed the series, learned about now-defunct NHL teams, talked probability theory, and tried to cover everything that's happened in NHL front offices recently.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode #77: The Leafs, Coyotes, and Geography
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Round 2 is complete, and well, it wasn't necessarily the best round we've watched. That said, there's a lot here. We discussed the second round, the upcoming Conference Finals, the Leafs' potential problems, the Coyotes actual problems, and spent way too long figuring out where the bayou is.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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Episode #76: Draft Lottery, Round 2, and Draisaitl
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We recorded immediately after the draft lottery, and none of us were exceptionally happy about it. We chat about the aforementioned lottery, the ongoing second round of the playoffs, cleaning agents, and Leon Draisaitl... with quite a bit of rambling throughout.Av Evolving Hockey Staff
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