# 85 Christoph Hofinger - Being A Hedgehog Or A Fox Novus Sanity Check podcast

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# 85 Christoph Hofinger - Being a hedgehog or a fox

25d ago 41:09

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This week's episode of Sanity Check highlights the election results in Austria, where the far-right Freedom Party (FPÖ) received the most votes, drawing significant attention. Christoph Hofinger, pollster and forecaster, best known from Austrian TV election night coverage, where he presents election forecasts. head of the Austrian FORESIGHT institute and former president of the European Association of Political Consultants (EAPC), shares his insights into voter behavior and current political trends, including the role of inflation, dissatisfaction with mandatory vaccinations during the pandemic, and the anger driving increased support for populist parties like FPÖ.

The episode also explores the idea of “being a hedgehog or a fox” in political forecasting. The hedgehog focuses on a single core idea, which often leads to less flexible forecasts, while the fox adapts its approach by drawing on multiple ideas and theories for greater accuracy.

… continue reading

86 episoder

#Novus Sanity Check #Samhällen

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# 85 Christoph Hofinger - Being a hedgehog or a fox

Novus Sanity Check

published 25d ago

Dela

M4A•Episod hem

Innehåll tillhandahållet av Novus Sanity Check. Allt poddinnehåll inklusive avsnitt, grafik och podcastbeskrivningar laddas upp och tillhandahålls direkt av Novus Sanity Check eller deras podcastplattformspartner. Om du tror att någon använder ditt upphovsrättsskyddade verk utan din tillåtelse kan du följa processen som beskrivs här https://sv.player.fm/legal.

This week's episode of Sanity Check highlights the election results in Austria, where the far-right Freedom Party (FPÖ) received the most votes, drawing significant attention. Christoph Hofinger, pollster and forecaster, best known from Austrian TV election night coverage, where he presents election forecasts. head of the Austrian FORESIGHT institute and former president of the European Association of Political Consultants (EAPC), shares his insights into voter behavior and current political trends, including the role of inflation, dissatisfaction with mandatory vaccinations during the pandemic, and the anger driving increased support for populist parties like FPÖ.

The episode also explores the idea of “being a hedgehog or a fox” in political forecasting. The hedgehog focuses on a single core idea, which often leads to less flexible forecasts, while the fox adapts its approach by drawing on multiple ideas and theories for greater accuracy.

… continue reading

86 episoder

#Novus Sanity Check #Samhällen

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